The downstream demand for new energy vehicle power batteries will move from government procurement and demonstration operations to marketization. Before 2015, China's new energy vehicle procurement mainly came from government procurement and public transportation demonstration operations, which had a significant effect on promoting the development of the industrial chain. With the changes in the stage of the new energy automobile industry and the adjustment of the state subsidy policy, how to market demand will be the new direction for the next stage of industry development.
The new energy logistics vehicle is the next stage of the show: the development process is "S" shaped heavy volume. We are very concerned about the development of renewable energy logistics vehicles: on the one hand, its "oil-electricity difference" with significant economic advantages can truly drive the market-oriented procurement demand; on the other hand, the logistics vehicle market has large space and more performance requirements. The scale effect produced by it can further promote the technological progress and cost reduction of power batteries.
The speed of power battery production is greater than the growth rate of industry demand. 2017 may be a feng shui between supply and demand, and the industry will be divided. On the one hand, the same industry enterprises will be short-handed in 2017, and the competition will become fierce; on the other hand, the leading position of the power battery industry is taking shape, and its competitive advantage in the field of new energy bus is to special vehicles and passenger cars. Market development lays the foundation.
New technological advances are the key drivers driving the continued advancement of the new energy vehicle power battery industry. As a national key development area, new energy vehicles have formulated development plans for power battery performance, especially in setting specific targets such as energy density and specific energy. The realization of this goal will depend to a greater extent on the technological advancement that lithium power continues to make. Looking forward to 2017, new materials and new technologies such as LiFSI, silicon carbon negative electrode, lithium titanate power battery, and graphene conductive materials are expected to drive the advancement of power lithium battery technology, and will be closer and closer to large-scale applications.
Risk warning: China's new energy vehicle industry policy has undergone major adjustments, resulting in downstream demand is seriously lower than expected; the speed of new technology promotion is lower than expected.
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